Despite a 1-6 record in Week 9, road underdogs have been the hottest trend in the NFL this season. In fact, teams receiving points are 53-35-2. Eight road underdogs will look to keep the trend alive as we enter the Week 10 NFL schedule. The latest Week 10 NFL odds list the Lions (3-4-1) as 2.5-point underdogs in Chicago (3-5), the Panthers (5-3) as 5.5-point underdogs in Green Bay (7-2) and the Cardinals (3-5-1) as 4.5-point underdogs in Tampa Bay (2-6). All three of those teams have .500 records or better against the spread this season, but can they beat this week's NFL spreads?. Meanwhile, the Browns (2-6) are laying three points at home against the Bills according to the latest Week 10 NFL lines despite the fact that they're an abysmal 2-6 against the spread, while the Bills (6-2) are 5-3. Before you make any NFL predictions based on the current Week 10 NFL odds, see the Week 10 NFL picks from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
This model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception four years ago. It enters Week 9 of the 2019 NFL schedule on a 25-17 run on top-rated NFL picks and an incredible 87-60 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch the past three years. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, it has examined the latest Week 10 NFL odds and lines, simulated every snap, and its Week 10 NFL predictions are in. Here are three of the games it's most confident in this week:
Ravens vs. Bengals (+10, 44.5): Another one of the model's strongest picks comes in the AFC North battle between the Ravens and Bengals, a matchup where the model likes one side of the spread almost 60 percent of the time. The winless Bengals finally benched quarterback Andy Dalton, turning to rookie Ryan Finley in his place as they turn their attention to 2020 and beyond. The Bengals have struggled to an 0-8 straight-up record and are just 3-5 against the spread. Now, they'll host a red-hot Baltimore squad that is 6-2 straight-up and just took down the previously unbeaten Patriots. But several against the spread trends work in the Bengals' favor, as they've covered in eight of their last 11 games against AFC North opponents, including when they stayed within the 10.5-point spread against Baltimore earlier this season.
Lions vs. Bears (-2.5, 41.5): Another one of the computer's strongest picks comes in this NFC North battle, a matchup where the model likes one side of the spread well over 50 percent of the time. The Bears limp into Sunday's divisional matchup having lost four straight games. Quarterback Mitchell Trubisky has struggled mightily in Chicago's recent losing skid, failing to record a touchdown pass in three of his last four outings. The Bears are just 2-6 against the spread this season and now face Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford, who's thrown 10 touchdowns over his last three games. In addition, the Lions have fared well on the road, covering the spread in five of their last seven away games. However, the Bears have covered in eight of their last nine games against NFC North opponents, including beating a one-point spread against Minnesota earlier this season.
Seahawks vs. 49ers (-6, 47): One of the strongest Week 10 NFL predictions the model is forecasting comes from the critical Monday Night Football matchup between the Seahawks and 49ers. Seattle is 7-2 on the season, while San Francisco is the last remaining unbeaten (8-0) in the NFL. Overall, these two NFC West rivals have looked like two of the best teams in the NFL. The Seahawks are 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 road games, while the 49ers are an impressive 27-7 against the spread on Monday nights. The 49ers could be without George Kittle, who suffered a leg injury during San Francisco's 28-25 win over the Cardinals on Thursday Night Football last week. The model says one side of the spread cashes well over 50 percent of the time.
The model also has made the call against the spread, on the over-under, and on the money line for every other game on the Week 10 NFL schedule. It's also projecting a Super Bowl contender to go down hard, so you need to see its NFL picks before locking in any of your own.
Who should you back against the spread, on the money line and the total in every Week 10 NFL game? And which Super Bowl contender goes down? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see their Week 10 NFL cheat sheet, all from the model that is up almost $7,000 on its top-rated NFL picks.
NFL Week 10 odds
- Los Angeles Chargers at Oakland Raiders (+1.5, 48.5)
- Kansas City Chiefs at Tennessee Titans (+6, 48)
- Buffalo Bills at Cleveland Browns (-3, 40)
- Arizona Cardinals at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4.5, 52)
- New York Giants at New York Jets (+2.5, 44.5)
- Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints (-13, 51)
- Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals (+10, 44.5)
- Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears (-2.5, 41.5)
- Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts (-10.5, 44)
- Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers (-5.5, 47)
- Los Angeles Rams at Pittsburgh Steelers (+3.5, 44)
- Minnesota Vikings at Dallas Cowboys (-3, 47.5)
- Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers (-6, 47)
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November 07, 2019 at 11:42AM
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NFL odds, picks, lines, spreads for Week 10: Advanced computer model shares best predictions - CBS Sports
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